000
WTNT21 KNHC 172126 CCA
TCMAT1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE 
FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012024
2100 UTC MON JUN 17 2024

CORRECTED TIME OF NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  93.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  93.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  93.2W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.1N  93.4W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.2N  93.8W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.9N  95.0W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 23.4N  96.4W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.8N  97.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...250NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.0N  98.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 24.0N 101.4W...INLAND 
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  93.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC