Tropical Weather Outlook
National Weather Service National Hurricane Center Miami Florida
8:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time Fri Jun 21 2024

For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):Satellite imagery and National Weather Service Doppler radar data indicate that the well-defined low pressure area located about 40 miles southeast of Brunswick, Georgia, is producing only minimal shower and thunderstorm activity at this time.
The low is likely to move inland during the next several hours, and the chances of the system becoming a tropical depression are decreasing.
However, interests along the coasts of Georgia and northeastern Florida should continue to monitor the progress of the system until it moves inland.
For more information, refer to High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, as well as local forecasts issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours: medium/40 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days: medium/40 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a broad area of low pressure is forming over the Bay of Campeche.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend.
Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours; medium/50 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days; medium/50 percent.

    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php .
    Local National Weather Service forecasts can be found at www.weather.gov.

    Forecaster Beven