192 
WTNT22 KNHC 291445
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
1500 UTC SAT JUN 29 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  47.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  47.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.8N  46.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 10.4N  50.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 11.1N  53.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 11.8N  57.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.6N  60.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.7N  64.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.9N  68.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.7N  81.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N  47.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 29/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC