000
WTNT22 KNHC 010240
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
0300 UTC MON JUL 01 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  58.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 135SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  58.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  57.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.2N  60.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.4N  64.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.8N  68.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.9N  72.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.7N  75.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.6N  79.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 19.0N  85.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  70SW 105NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 20.7N  91.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N  58.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 01/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC