000
WTNT22 KNHC 010857
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
0900 UTC MON JUL 01 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  59.9W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 135SE 105SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  59.9W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N  59.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 12.6N  62.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 13.9N  66.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.1N  70.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.0N  73.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.8N  77.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.4N  81.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 18.4N  87.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 19.5N  92.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N  59.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 01/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC