000
WTNT22 KNHC 011454
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
1500 UTC MON JUL 01 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  61.3W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE  75SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  61.3W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  60.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.3N  64.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.5N  67.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.6N  71.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.4N  75.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.2N  79.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.8N  82.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 19.0N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 20.5N  93.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N  61.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 01/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC