082
WTNT32 KNHC 012050
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
5:00 PM Atlantic Standard Time Mon Jul 01 2024
  • MAJOR HURRICANE BERYL MOVING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN  
  • TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, DANGEROUS WAVES, AND HEAVY RAINFALL PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS  
SUMMARY OF 500 PM Atlantic Standard Time  2100 Coordianted Universal Time  INFORMATION
LOCATION  13.2 North 63.2 West
ABOUT 125 Miles,  205 Kilometers Northwest OF GRENADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS  150 Miles Per Hour,  240 Kilometers Per Hour
PRESENT MOVEMENT  West Northwest OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 Miles Per Hour, 33 Kilometers Per Hour
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  944 Millibar,  27.88 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
  • The government of St. Vincent and the Grenadines has changed the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for those islands.
  • The government of the Dominican Republic has changed the Tropical Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning for the south coast from Punta Palenque westward to the border of Haiti.
  • The Tropical Storm Watch for the south coast of Haiti has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning.
  • The government of Trinidad and Tobago has changed the Hurricane Warning to a Tropical Storm Warning for the island.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for  
  •   Jamaica
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for  
  •   Grenada
  •   St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands
  •   St. Lucia
  •   Martinique
  •   South coast of Dominican Republic from Punta Palenque westward to the border with Haiti
  •   South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d’Hainault
  1. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area.
  2. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
  3. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
  4. Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles, the Cayman Islands, and the remainder of the northwestern Caribbean should closely monitor the progress of Beryl.
  5. Additional watches or warnings may be required tonight or on Tuesday.
  6. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
  • At 500 PM Atlantic Standard Time (2100 Coordianted Universal Time), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 63.2 West.
  • Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 Miles Per Hour, (33 Kilometers Per Hour).
  • The center of Beryl will continue moving away from the southern Windward Islands tonight and move quickly westward to west-northwestward during the next few days.
  • On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move across the southeastern and central Caribbean Sea tonight through Tuesday and is forecast to pass near Jamaica on Wednesday.
  • Maximum sustained winds are near 150 Miles Per Hour, (240 Kilometers Per Hour) with higher gusts.
  • Beryl is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
  • Fluctuations in strength are likely during the next day or so, but Beryl is expected to remain an extremely dangerous major hurricane as its moves over the eastern Caribbean.
  • Some weakening is expected in the central Caribbean by midweek, though Beryl is forecast to remain a hurricane.
  • Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 Kilometers) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 Kilometers).
  • The Hewanorra International Airport on St. Lucia recently  reported sustained winds of 47 Miles Per Hour, (76 Kilometers Per Hour) and a gust of 64 Miles Per Hour, (104 Kilometers Per Hour).
  • The estimated minimum central pressure is 944 Millibar, (27.88 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible on Jamaica by Wednesday.
Tropical storm conditions will continue in the southern Windward Islands over the next few hours.
Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the south coast of Hispaniola by late Tuesday.
STORM SURGE:  Water levels should recede into the evening over the southern Windward Islands.
Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of Jamaica.
Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds along the southern coast of Hispaniola.
RAINFALL:  Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across the Windward Islands through this evening.
Localized maxima of 10 inches are possible, especially in the Grenadines and Grenada.
This rainfall may cause flash flooding in vulnerable areas.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
SURF:  Large swells generated by Beryl will continue across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next couple of days.
Swells are also expected to reach the southern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola late tonight into Tuesday.
These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM Atlantic Standard Time.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM Atlantic Standard Time.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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