700 
FONT12 KNHC 010857
PWSAT2

HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024               
0900 UTC MON JUL 01 2024                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.                                       

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
VERACRUZ MX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)
FRONTERA MX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)

COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  27(28)   5(33)
COZUMEL MX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)
COZUMEL MX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

BELIZE CITY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  30(30)  10(40)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   6(18)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   6(15)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  35(37)   3(40)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   1(17)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)

SAN ANDRES     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

PT GALLINAS    34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

CURACAO        34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   1(15)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)   X(15)
ISLE OF PINES  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)

CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  38(38)   9(47)   1(48)
GRAND CAYMAN   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   6(18)   X(18)
GRAND CAYMAN   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)

MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  51(55)   1(56)   X(56)
MONTEGO BAY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   X(21)   X(21)
MONTEGO BAY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  55(66)   X(66)   X(66)
KINGSTON       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  31(32)   X(32)   X(32)
KINGSTON       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)

LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   5(21)   X(21)   X(21)
LES CAYES      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  19(23)   2(25)   X(25)   X(25)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)  17(17)  28(45)   1(46)   X(46)   X(46)
CAPE BEATA     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
CAPE BEATA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)  10(10)   5(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

PONCE PR       34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

AGUADILLA PR   34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SAN JUAN PR    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

VIEQUES PR     34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SABA           34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ST EUSTATIUS   34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GUADELOUPE     34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

AVES           34  3  13(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

DOMINICA       34  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

MARTINIQUE     34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAINT LUCIA    34 61   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
SAINT LUCIA    50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT VINCENT  34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
SAINT VINCENT  50 36   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
SAINT VINCENT  64  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BARBADOS       34 87   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)

GRENADA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GRENADA        50 84   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
GRENADA        64 49   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)

TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 93   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 50  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

PORT OF SPAIN  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

JUANGRIEGO     34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC