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HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024               
2100 UTC MON JUL 01 2024                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.                                       

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)

MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   3(15)

COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  25(38)   2(40)
COZUMEL MX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)
COZUMEL MX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

BELIZE CITY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  29(34)   1(35)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)

GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  15(29)   X(29)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   X(12)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PT GALLINAS    34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CURACAO        34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   8(20)   1(21)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   2(20)   X(20)
ISLE OF PINES  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   X(12)   X(12)

CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  55(60)   1(61)   X(61)
GRAND CAYMAN   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)   X(29)   X(29)
GRAND CAYMAN   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)

MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  51(54)  17(71)   X(71)   X(71)
MONTEGO BAY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)  18(36)   X(36)   X(36)
MONTEGO BAY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   X(14)   X(14)

KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  69(77)   6(83)   X(83)   X(83)
KINGSTON       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  42(43)   5(48)   X(48)   X(48)
KINGSTON       64  X   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   5(28)   X(28)   X(28)

LES CAYES      34  X   1( 1)  21(22)   9(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
LES CAYES      50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
LES CAYES      64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   3( 3)  26(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE BEATA     34  X  10(10)  47(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
CAPE BEATA     50  X   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
CAPE BEATA     64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   8( 8)   5(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

PONCE PR       34  2   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

AGUADILLA PR   34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SAN JUAN PR    34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

VIEQUES PR     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT THOMAS   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT CROIX    34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

AVES           34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SAINT VINCENT  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

GRENADA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER REINHART                                                 

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC