000
WTNT22 KNHC 020246
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
0300 UTC TUE JUL 02 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  64.9W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 135SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  64.9W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  64.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 14.8N  67.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.9N  71.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.8N  75.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.7N  78.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 55NE  30SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.2N  82.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.6N  85.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 20.5N  91.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N  95.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  64.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 02/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC