000
WTNT22 KNHC 020855
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
0900 UTC TUE JUL 02 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  66.9W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  935 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  66.9W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  65.9W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.5N  69.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.5N  73.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.4N  76.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.2N  80.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.7N  83.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.3N  86.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.2N  91.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  66.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 02/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/BLAKE


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC