000
WTNT22 KNHC 021440
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
1500 UTC TUE JUL 02 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  68.9W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  68.9W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  67.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.2N  71.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.2N  75.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.1N  78.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.8N  82.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.3N  85.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.0N  88.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.0N  93.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 24.0N  96.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  68.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 02/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC