000
WTNT22 KNHC 022040
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
2100 UTC TUE JUL 02 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  70.8W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 135SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  70.8W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  69.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.7N  73.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.7N  77.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N  80.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.1N  83.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.7N  87.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.7N  89.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.5N  94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 24.5N  97.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  70.8W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 03/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC