000
WTNT22 KNHC 030853
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
0900 UTC WED JUL 03 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  74.4W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  74.4W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  73.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.3N  76.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.1N  80.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.7N  83.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.4N  86.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.1N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.1N  91.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 25.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  74.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 03/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/BLAKE


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC