000
WTNT22 KNHC 032042
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
2100 UTC WED JUL 03 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  77.6W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......160NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  77.6W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  76.8W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.1N  80.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.7N  83.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.2N  86.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.9N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.9N  91.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.9N  93.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 24.0N  96.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 26.0N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  77.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 04/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC