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HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024               
0900 UTC WED JUL 03 2024                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H.                                       

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)

MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)

ROCKPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   8(15)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

MCALLEN TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)

HARLINGEN TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)  12(30)
GFMX 250N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
GFMX 250N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

LA PESCA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)

TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)

TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)

VERACRUZ MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)

FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)

MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  28(33)   1(34)   X(34)
MERIDA MX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   9( 9)  58(67)   6(73)   X(73)   X(73)
COZUMEL MX     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  27(28)   6(34)   X(34)   X(34)
COZUMEL MX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)

BELIZE CITY    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   5(20)   1(21)   X(21)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   1(12)   1(13)   X(13)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)  11(11)  14(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLE OF PINES  34  X   4( 4)  13(17)   4(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

CIENFUEGOS     34  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

CAMAGUEY       34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GUANTANAMO BAY 34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  1  62(63)  27(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
GRAND CAYMAN   50  X  10(10)  35(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
GRAND CAYMAN   64  X   2( 2)  15(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

MONTEGO BAY    34 69  29(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
MONTEGO BAY    50  4  48(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
MONTEGO BAY    64  1  15(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

KINGSTON       34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
KINGSTON       50 80   6(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
KINGSTON       64 34   8(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)

LES CAYES      34 92   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BUCCI/BLAKE                                              

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC