000
WTNT22 KNHC 041443
TCMAT2

HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024
1500 UTC THU JUL 04 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  82.6W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......140NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  82.6W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  81.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.5N  85.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.1N  87.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.9N  90.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.0N  92.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.0N  94.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.9N  95.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 25.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 28.0N  99.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N  82.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 04/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC