365 
FONT12 KNHC 052045
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024               
2100 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)  10(20)   3(23)   X(23)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

FORT POLK LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)

LAKE CHARLES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)

CAMERON LA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   5(18)   1(19)
CAMERON LA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)

KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)

GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)  23(30)   5(35)   1(36)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   5(19)   1(20)
HOUSTON TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

AUSTIN TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   8(22)   1(23)
AUSTIN TX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)  10(28)   X(28)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)

FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)  17(19)   5(24)   1(25)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)  29(45)   3(48)   X(48)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   3(13)   X(13)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   4(13)   1(14)

MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)  38(47)   6(53)   1(54)
MATAGORDA TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   4(19)   1(20)
MATAGORDA TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)  45(56)   4(60)   1(61)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   4(25)   1(26)
PORT O CONNOR  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)

ROCKPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  39(43)   5(48)   1(49)
ROCKPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   2(17)   X(17)
ROCKPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  39(43)   5(48)   1(49)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   3(17)   X(17)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)  32(40)  29(69)   1(70)   X(70)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  23(30)   2(32)   X(32)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   1(12)   X(12)

MCALLEN TX     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  24(30)   3(33)   X(33)
MCALLEN TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
MCALLEN TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

HARLINGEN TX   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  30(42)   2(44)   X(44)
HARLINGEN TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)   X(11)
HARLINGEN TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  18(20)  25(45)   2(47)   X(47)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)   X(12)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   2( 2)  32(34)  34(68)   9(77)   1(78)   X(78)
GFMX 250N 960W 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)  25(30)   8(38)   X(38)   X(38)
GFMX 250N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)

LA PESCA MX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)

TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

MERIDA MX      34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
MERIDA MX      50  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC