394
WTNT32 KNHC 061449
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 32
National Weather Service National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
10:00 A.M. Central Daylight Time Sat Jul 06 2024

  • TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF COAST
  • BERYL EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE NEAR LANDFALL IN TEXAS

SUMMARY OF 10:00 A.M. Central Daylight Time 15:00 Coordinated Universal Time INFORMATION

LOCATION 23.0 North 92.3 West
ABOUT 460 Miles, 740 Kilometers Southeast OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 Miles Per Hour, 95 Kilometers Per Hour
PRESENT MOVEMENT West Northwest OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 Miles Per Hour, 19 Kilometers Per Hour
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 Millibar, 29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

  • A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the Texas coast south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande River.
  • The Meteorological Service of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the northeastern coast of mainland Mexico from Barra el Mezquital to the mouth of the Rio Grande.
  • The Meteorological Service of Mexico has also discontinued the Hurricane Watch for the northeastern coast of mainland Mexico from Barra el Mezquital to the mouth of the Rio Grande.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for

  • The Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande River northward to San Luis Pass

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for

  • The Texas coast south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande River
  • The northeastern coast of mainland Mexico from Barra el Mezquital to the mouth of the Rio Grande River

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for

  • The Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande River northward to High Island
  1. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area.
  2. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
  3. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
  4. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
  5. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.
  6. Interests elsewhere in northeastern Mexico and the Texas coast should closely monitor the progress of Beryl.
  7. A Hurricane Warning will likely be issued for a portion of the Texas coast this afternoon.
  8. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
  9. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

  • At 10:00 A.M. Central Daylight Time (15:00 Coordinated Universal Time), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 92.3 West.
  • Beryl is moving toward the west northwest near 12 Miles Per Hour, (19 Kilometers Per Hour).
  • A turn to the northwest is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the north northwest by Sunday night.
  • On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to approach the Texas coast by late Sunday into Monday morning.
  • Reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 60 Miles Per Hour, (95 Kilometers Per Hour) with higher gusts.
  • Little change in strength is expected today.
  • However, strengthening is expected to begin tonight or on Sunday, and Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane before it reaches the Texas coast.
  • Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 Kilometers) from the center.
  • The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 997 Millibar, (29.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND:

  • Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area along in Texas by early Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning Sunday night.
  • Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area in Texas and northeastern Mexico late Sunday or Sunday night.

STORM SURGE:

  • The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.
  • The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide
    • Baffin Bay Texas to San Luis Pass Texas 3 to 5 feet
    • Corpus Christi Bay 3 to 5 feet
    • Matagorda Bay 3 to 5 feet
    • Mouth of the Rio Grande Texas to Baffin Bay Texas 2 to 4 feet
    • San Luis Pass Texas to High Island Texas 2 to 4 feet
    • Galveston Bay 2 to 4 feet
  • The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
  • Surge related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
  • For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
  • For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL:

  • Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas beginning late Sunday through the middle of next week.
  • This rainfall will likely produce areas of flash and urban flooding, some of which may be locally considerable.
  • Minor to isolated moderate river flooding is also possible.
  • For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm
  • Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero

SURF:

  • Large swells generated by Beryl are expected to reach eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. today.
  • These swells are expected to cause life threatening surf and rip current conditions.
    Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

  • Next intermediate advisory at 1:00 P.M. Central Daylight Time.
  • Next complete advisory at 4:00 P.M. Central Daylight Time.

$$
Forecaster Beven

 

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