WTNT32 KNHC 062041
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE National Hurricane Center Miami FLORIDA AL022024
4:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME Sat Jul 06 2024
  • HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF TEXAS
  • HURRICANE FORCE WINDS, LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS
SUMMARY OF 4:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME 21:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME INFORMATION
LOCATION 23.9 NORTH 93.0 WEST
ABOUT 385 MILES, 615 KILOMETERS SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 MILES PER HOUR 95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MILES PER HOUR 20 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MILLIBAR, 29.44 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
  • A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for the Texas coast from Baffin Bay northward to Sargent.
  • A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the Texas coast north of Sargent to High Island.
  • A Storm Surge Warning has been issued from North Entrance of the Padre Island National Seashore northward to San Luis Pass, including Corpus Christi Bay and Matagorda Bay.
  • A Storm Surge Watch has been issued along the Texas coast east of High Island to Sabine Pass.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for
  • The Texas coast from Baffin Bay northward to Sargent
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for
  • The Texas coast south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande River
  • The Texas coast north of Sargent to San Luis Pass
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for
  • The Texas coast south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio Grande River
  • The Texas coast north of Sargent to High Island
  • The northeastern coast of mainland Mexico from Barra el Mezquital to the mouth of the Rio Grande River
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for
  • North Entrance of the Padre Island National Seashore to San Luis Pass, including Corpus Christi Bay and Matagorda Bay
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for
  • The Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande River northward to North Entrance of the Padre Island National Seashore
  • San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass, including Galveston Bay
  1. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.
  2. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
  3. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
  4. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area.
  5. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
  6. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations.
  7. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.
  8. This is a life threatening situation.
  9. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
  10. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
  11. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
  12. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.
  13. Interests elsewhere in northeastern Mexico and the Texas coast should closely monitor the progress of Beryl.
  14. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
  15. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
  • At 4:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (21:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 23.9 North, longitude 93.0 West.
  • Beryl is moving toward the northwest near 13 MILES PER HOUR (20 KILOMETERS PER HOUR), and this motion should continue through Sunday.
  • A turn toward the north northwest is expected Sunday night, with a turn toward the north on Monday.
  • On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will approach the Texas coast on Sunday and Sunday night and then make landfall on the Texas coast on Monday.
  • Maximum sustained winds are near 60 MILES PER HOUR (95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) with higher gusts.
  • Strengthening is expected, and Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane again Sunday or Sunday night before it reaches the Texas coast.
  • Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 KILOMETERS) from the center.
  • The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 MILLIBAR, (29.44 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
WIND: 
  • Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area by early Monday.
  • Winds are first expected to reach tropical storm strength by late Sunday, making outdoor preparations difficult or dangerous.
  • Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas in Texas by early Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning by late Sunday or Sunday night.
  • Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning areas in Texas and northeastern Mexico late by Sunday or Sunday night.
STORM SURGE: 
  • The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.
  • The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide
    • Mesquite Bay TEXAS to Sargent TEXAS 4 TO 6 FEET
    • Matagorda Bay 4 TO 6 FEET
    • Sargent TEXAS to San Luis Pass TEXAS 3 TO 5 FEET
    • NORTH Entrance Padre Island NS TEXAS to Mesquite Bay TEXAS 3 TO 5 FEET
    • Corpus Christi Bay 3 TO 5 FEET
    • Mouth of the Rio Grande TEXAS to NORTH Entrance Padre Island NS TEXAS 2 TO 4 FEET
    • San Luis Pass TEXAS to Sabine Pass TEXAS 2 TO 4 FEET
    • Galveston Bay 2 TO 4 FEET
    • Sabine Pass TEXAS to Cameron, LOUISIANNA 1 TO 3 FEET
  • The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
  • Surge related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
  • For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
  • For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL:  
  • Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas beginning late Sunday through midweek.
  • This rainfall will likely produce areas of flash and urban flooding, some of which may be locally considerable.
  • Minor to isolated moderate river flooding is also possible.
  • For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
  • hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero
TORNADOES: 
  • A few tornadoes could occur along the Texas Coast Sunday afternoon and Sunday night.
SURF:  
  • Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next few days.
  • These swells are expected to cause life threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
Next intermediate advisory at 7:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME.
Next complete advisory at 10:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME.
$$
Forecaster Beven

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC