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FONT12 KNHC 070243
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024               
0300 UTC SUN JUL 07 2024                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

GFMX 280N 910W 34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GFMX 280N 930W 34  8  17(25)   7(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

FORT POLK LA   34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

LAKE CHARLES   34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

CAMERON LA     34  3  10(13)  15(28)   2(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)

JASPER TX      34  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

KOUNTZE TX     34  X   4( 4)  12(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   4( 4)  11(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

GALVESTON TX   34  3  35(38)  30(68)   1(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   2( 2)  14(16)   1(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HOUSTON TX     34  1   6( 7)  45(52)   5(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
HOUSTON TX     50  X   X( X)  10(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
HOUSTON TX     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

AUSTIN TX      34  X   3( 3)  26(29)  10(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)
AUSTIN TX      50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   4( 4)  20(24)   4(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

FREEPORT TX    34  1  28(29)  40(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   1( 1)  21(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
FREEPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 280N 950W 34 17  64(81)   6(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X  26(26)  12(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   5( 5)   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  1   6( 7)  20(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MATAGORDA TX   34  4  62(66)  27(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
MATAGORDA TX   50  X  16(16)  50(66)   2(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
MATAGORDA TX   64  X   2( 2)  31(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

PORT O CONNOR  34  4  69(73)  21(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X  30(30)  48(78)   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
PORT O CONNOR  64  X   5( 5)  42(47)   2(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)

ROCKPORT TX    34  1  51(52)  29(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
ROCKPORT TX    50  X  13(13)  32(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
ROCKPORT TX    64  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34  1  35(36)  27(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  X   6( 6)  15(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

GFMX 270N 960W 34 48  49(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  5  80(85)   3(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X  46(46)   6(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)

MCALLEN TX     34  1   6( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

HARLINGEN TX   34  1  14(15)   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  2  14(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

GFMX 250N 960W 34 43  10(53)   2(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
GFMX 250N 960W 50  5   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

LA PESCA MX    34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC