000
WTNT32 KNHC 081755
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 40A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FLORIDA AL022024
1:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME Mon Jul 08 2024
  • FLASH FLOODING AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING OVER EASTERN TEXAS
  • USE CAUTION AFTER THE STORM AS DEADLY HAZARDS REMAIN INCLUDING DOWNED POWERLINES AND CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING FROM IMPROPER GENERATOR USE
SUMMARY OF 1:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME 18:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME INFORMATION
LOCATION 30. 5 NORTH 95. 5 WEST
ABOUT 55 MILES, 90 KILOMETERS NORTH OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 MILES PER HOUR, 95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT NORTH NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MILES PER HOUR, 22 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MILLIBAR, 29.15 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
  • The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Port O’Connor to San Luis Pass.
  • The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued from Port O’Connor to San Luis Pass.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for
  • North of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass including Galveston Bay
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for
  • The Texas coast from north of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass
  1. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline.
  2. For a depiction of areas at risk please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic available at hurricanes.gov.
  3. This is a life threatening situation.
  4. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area.
  5. For storm information specific to your area including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
  • AT 1:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (18:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME) the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was LOCATED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE radar data near latitude 30.5 North longitude 95.5 West.
  • Beryl is moving toward the north northeast near 14 MILES PER HOUR, (22 KILOMETERS PER HOUR).
  • A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday.
  • On the forecast track the center of Beryl will move over eastern Texas today then move through the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday.
  • Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 MILES PER HOUR, (95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) with higher gusts.
  • Steady weakening is forecast and Beryl is expected to become a post tropical cyclone on Tuesday.
  • Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 KILOMETERS) mostly southeast from the center.
  • A National Ocean Service station NEAR THE ENTRANCE TO GALVESTON BAY (GNJT2) recently reported sustained winds of 46 MILES PER HOUR, (74 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) and a wind gust of 58 MILES PER HOUR, (93 KILOMETERS PER HOUR).
  • HUNTSVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KUTS) in Texas measured a wind gust of 56 MILES PER HOUR, (90 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) and Beaumont/Port Arthur Regional AIRPORT (KBPT) recently reported a wind gust of 54 MILES PER HOUR, (87 KILOMETERS PER HOUR).
  • The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 MILLIBAR, (29.15 inches) based on surface observations.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT2 WMO HEADER WTNT42 KNHC AND ON THE NHC WEBSITE AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
WIND: 
  • Tropical storm conditions will continue within the tropical storm warning area for the next few hours.
STORM SURGE: 
  • The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.
  • The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide
    • SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS TO SABINE PASS TEXAS 3 TO 5 FEET
    • GALVESTON BAY 3 TO 5 FEET
  • The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
  • Surge related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle and can vary greatly over short distances.
  • For information specific to your area please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
  • For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

RAINFALL:  
  • Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the Upper Texas Coast and eastern Texas today into tonight.
  • Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected.
  • Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts possible is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas and southern Missouri tonight into Tuesday.
  • For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero
  • For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated THIS STORM SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO HEADER ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html
TORNADOES: 
  • Several tornadoes are possible through tonight across parts of east Texas Louisiana and Arkansas.
SURF:  
  • Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the northern and western Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or so.
  • These swells are expected to cause life threatening surf and rip current conditions.
  • Please consult  products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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