507
WTNT32 KNHC 082033
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 41
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FLORIDA AL022024
4:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME Mon Jul 08 2024

  • BERYL PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING AND TORNADOES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA
  • DEADLY HAZARDS REMAIN AFTER THE STORM INCLUDING DOWNED POWER LINES AND CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING FROM IMPROPER GENERATOR USE

SUMMARY OF 4:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME 21:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME INFORMATION

LOCATION 31. 3 NORTH 95. 1 WEST
ABOUT 80 MILES, 125 KILOMETERS SSE OF TYLER TEXAS
ABOUT 110 MILES, 180 KILOMETERS NORTH OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 MILES PER HOUR, 75 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT NORTH NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MILES PER HOUR, 26 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MILLIBAR, 29.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

  • The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued from Port O’Connor to San Luis Pass to Port Bolivar.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for

  • North of San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass including Galveston Bay

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for

  • The Texas coast from north of Port Bolivar to Sabine Pass
  1. A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline.
  2. For a depiction of areas at risk please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic available at hurricanes.gov.
  3. This is a life threatening situation.
  4. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area.
  5. For storm information specific to your area including possible inland watches and warnings please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

  • AT 4:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (21:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME) the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 31.3 North longitude 95.1 West.
  • Beryl is moving toward the north northeast near 16 MILES PER HOUR, (26 KILOMETERS PER HOUR).
  • A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight and Tuesday.
  • On the forecast track the center of Beryl will move over eastern Texas today then move through the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday.
  • Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 MILES PER HOUR, (75 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) with higher gusts.
  • Further weakening is forecast and Beryl is expected to become a tropical depression tonight or overnight and a post tropical cyclone on Tuesday.
  • Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 KILOMETERS) primarily southeast of the center.
  • A National Ocean Service station NEAR SABINE PASS (TEXASPT2) recently reported sustained winds of 43 MILES PER HOUR, (69 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) and a wind gust of 56 MILES PER HOUR, (90 KILOMETERS PER HOUR).
  • The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 MILLIBAR, (29.32 inches) based on surface observations.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT2 WMO HEADER WTNT42 KNHC AND ON THE NHC WEBSITE AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

STORM SURGE:

  • The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.
  • The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide
    • SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS TO SABINE PASS TEXAS 3 TO 5 FEET
    • GALVESTON BAY 3 TO 5 FEET
  • The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
  • Surge related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle and can vary greatly over short distances.
  • For information specific to your area please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
  • For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

TORNADOES:

  • Several tornadoes are possible through tonight across parts of east Texas Louisiana and Arkansas.
  • The tornado risk will spread into southeast Missouri northern Tennessee Kentucky southern Illinois southern Indiana and Ohio on Tuesday.

RAINFALL:

  • An additional 4 to 8 inches of rainfall with localized amounts of 12 inches is expected across portions of eastern Texas through tonight.
  • Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected.
    Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma Arkansas and southern Missouri through Tuesday.
  • Locally considerable flash and urban flooding is possible.
  • For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf

and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at

hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero

  • For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated THIS STORM SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO HEADER ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link:

www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html

SURF:

  • Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the northern and western Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next day or so.
  • These swells are expected to cause life threatening surf and rip current conditions.
    Please consult products from your local weather office.

WIND:

  • Tropical storm conditions will continue within the tropical storm warning area for the next few hours.

NEXT ADVISORY

NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 7:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10:00 P.M. CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME.

$$
Forecaster Blake

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC