000
FONT12 KNHC 081450
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40            
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022024               
1500 UTC MON JUL 08 2024                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

SHREVEPORT LA  34  1  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

CAMERON LA     34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

JASPER TX      34 23   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

KOUNTZE TX     34 66   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

GALVESTON TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GALVESTON TX   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

HOUSTON TX     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOUSTON TX     50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOUSTON TX     64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

FREEPORT TX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FREEPORT TX    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 92   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)

MATAGORDA TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MATAGORDA TX   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

PORT O CONNOR  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

By NHC