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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052024
0300 UTC WED AUG 14 2024
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 40(77) 5(82)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 34(44) 4(48)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) 3(28)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GRAND TURK 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) 1(12)
PUERTO PLATA 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PONCE PR 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
AGUADILLA PR 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAN JUAN PR 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
VIEQUES PR 34 27 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
SAINT THOMAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAINT THOMAS 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SAINT JOHN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAINT JOHN 50 34 X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
SAINT CROIX 34 11 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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