Tropical Storm Gilma Forecast Advisory


000
WTPA22 PHFO 280837
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP072024
0900 UTC WED AUG 28 2024

NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 144.5W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE 120SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 144.5W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 143.9W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.8N 146.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  10SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.2N 148.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.7N 150.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.2N 153.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.8N 155.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.7N 158.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 144.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD


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