Tropical Storm Joyce Forecast Advisory


538 
WTNT21 KNHC 272034
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112024
2100 UTC FRI SEP 27 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  44.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  44.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  43.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.1N  45.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  10SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N  47.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.1N  48.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.7N  49.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.4N  49.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.0N  49.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 23.0N  49.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  44.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART



Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION


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