Tropical Storm Leslie Forecast Advisory


243 
WTNT23 KNHC 102030
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
2100 UTC THU OCT 10 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  50.9W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  50.9W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  50.8W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.9N  51.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.0N  50.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.6N  47.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  50SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 32.5N  43.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE  50SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 34.8N  38.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 36.1N  32.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE  70SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 36.0N  23.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N  50.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN



Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION


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