Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen Public Advisory


230 
WTNT35 KNHC 182036
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152024
400 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

...POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY
RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF BELIZE AND MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 85.0W
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Belize has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from
Belize City northward to the border with Mexico.

The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from the 
border with Belize northward to Tulum.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Belize City to Tulum

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula should 
monitor the progress of this system. 

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
17.5 North, longitude 85.0 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and is expected to turn 
westward tonight before reaching land tomorrow.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slow strengthening is forecast, and it could become a tropical 
cyclone before making landfall tomorrow. 

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Widespread 4-8 inch rainfall amounts are expected across 
northern Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern Mexican states 
from Quintana Roo westward to Veracruz.  Isolated areas of amounts 
exceeding 12 inches are also possible through late Tuesday.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area on Saturday.

SURF:  Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore
flow near and to the north of where the center moves inland.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION


Stay Updated with news.freeptomaineradio.com’s Daily Newsletter

Stay informed! Subscribe to our daily newsletter to receive updates on our latest blog posts directly in your inbox. Don’t let important information get buried by big tech.






Current subscribers:

  • NHC

    Related Posts

    Tropical Storm Rafael Public Advisory Number 23

    …RAFAEL RAPIDLY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM…
    Location: 24.8°N 89.9°W
    Max sustained: 70 mph
    Moving: WNW at 5 mph
    Min pressure: 989 mb

    Issued at 900 PM CST Fri Nov 08 2024

    Hezbollah Targeted Israel’s Trump Heights The Day After Election

    Hezbollah Targeted Israel’s Trump Heights The Day After Election

    This week Hezbollah rockets targeted Israel’s Trump Heights settlement, a remote community in the central Golan Heights – which was taken from Syria after the Six Day War of 1967.

    Iranian state media as well as a report in Lebanon’s Al-Mayadeen indicated that Hezbollah specifically targeted Trump Height the day after he won the Tuesday US presidential election.

    Via AFP

    “Sirens sounded in Trump Heights as Hezbollah rocket attack targeted the Golan Heights on Wednesday,” an Israeli regional sources also said. “The attack came shortly after the election results were announced, indicating that Trump was the victor.”

    The tiny Jewish settlement was named after Trump in 2019, during his first term, in acknowledgement of his declaring that the US recognizes Israel’s sovereignty over the Golan Heights.

    It was an ultra-controversial move at the time, given most of the rest of the world considers it “Israeli-occupied territory” belonging to Syria.

    At the time of the attack sirens blared not just in Trump Heights, but across other locations of northern and central Israel.

    But the “Trump Heights” designation has always been more about a PR move for the existing community to improve and expand, as the Associated Press explains:

    But a large-scale influx of new residents never materialized after that 2019 ceremony, and just a couple dozen families live in Trump Heights, or “Ramat Trump” in Hebrew. Job opportunities are limited, and Israel’s more than yearlong war against Hezbollah militants in nearby Lebanon has added to the sense of isolation.

    Trump’s election has inspired hope in the community that it will attract more members and also more funding for security improvements.

    One resident observed that “President Trump’s return to the White House definitely puts the town in the headlines.”

    It had also made big headlines when Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu went there for an unveiling ceremony in 2019. During that June 2019 ceremony, BBC noted that “Building work has yet to begin but a sign bearing Mr Trump’s name and US and Israeli flags was unveiled. However, it also noted that “Critics called the move a publicity stunt with no legal authority.”

    Tyler Durden
    Fri, 11/08/2024 – 18:00

    You Missed

    Tropical Storm Rafael Public Advisory Number 23

    • By NHC
    • November 8, 2024
    • 3 views

    Hezbollah Targeted Israel’s Trump Heights The Day After Election

    Hezbollah Targeted Israel’s Trump Heights The Day After Election

    US to send contractors to Ukraine to maintain military equipment

    US to send contractors to Ukraine to maintain military equipment

    NICOLE RUSSELL: College girls standing up for fair play gives hope to younger athletes

    NICOLE RUSSELL: College girls standing up for fair play gives hope to younger athletes

    Hurricane Rafael Forecast Advisory Number 22

    • By NHC
    • November 8, 2024
    • 2 views

    Hurricane Rafael Public Advisory

    • By NHC
    • November 8, 2024
    • 3 views