SPC Jan 24, 2022 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 PM CST Sun Jan 23 2022 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY...
Isolated weak thunderstorms are possible from southeast Texas into
western Louisiana beginning late on Monday. ...TX/LA... Water-vapor imagery depicts the center of an upper low just south of
the NM border over northern Mexico, shifting east toward TX in line
with latest model guidance. This low will open up and deamplify as
it approaches the lower MS Valley late in the period. In response to
this feature, a weak surface wave has formed off the south TX coast
and a low should evolve and track across the northwestern Gulf
Basin, likely remaining south of the LA coast Monday night. As a
result, low-level warm advection in advance of the short wave will
contribute to elevated convection north of the boundary across
southeast TX into western LA. Some of this activity is expected to
generate lightning. Forecast soundings are not particularly buoyant
with the most unstable parcels being lifted well above 850mb much of
the period. ..Darrow/Wendt.. 01/24/2022

Read more Originally posted at National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center