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SPC MD 780

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Mesoscale Discussion 780
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 Mesoscale Discussion 0780 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0844 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022 Areas affected...Central PA Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 225... Valid 161344Z - 161515Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 225 continues. SUMMARY...Potential for damaging wind gusts is increasing across central PA. DISCUSSION...A cold front extends from western NY southward through central PA, western MD, and the far eastern WV Panhandle into western WV. Showers and thunderstorms exist along and ahead of this front, with some strengthening recently noted across central PA. The air mass downstream is not overly buoyant at the moment, but continued diurnal heating should allow more destabilization over the next few hours, particularly in areas where temperatures reach the 70s. Moderate mid to upper level flow will help support 40-45 kt of deep-layer vertical shear, which could help organize updrafts and lead to stronger storms than the instability would suggest. Primary risk with any more robust storms is be damaging wind gusts. ..Mosier/Grams.. 05/16/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP... LAT...LON 40057881 41577865 41867833 41927778 41587695 40467644 39867677 39777743 39797829 39917868 40057881 
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Originally posted at National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center

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