000
WTNT33 KNHC 211454
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BRET ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FLORIDA, AL032023
11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME WEDNESDAY JUN 21 2023
- BRET CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD…
- AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS AFTERNOON…
- SUMMARY OF 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME,15:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME,
INFORMATION
LOCATION,13.0 NORTH 52.5 WEST
ABOUT 470 MILES,760 KILOMETERS EAST OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 60 MILES PER HOUR, 95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT, WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MILES PER HOUR, 22 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE, 1001 MILLIBAR, 29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR…
ST. LUCIA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
BARBADOS
DOMINICA
MARTINIQUE
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
- A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
- INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BRET.
- ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR THESE ISLANDS TODAY.
- FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
- AT 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (15:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 52.5 WEST.
- BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MILES PER HOUR (22 KILOMETERS PER HOUR), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
- ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF BRET IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES ON THURSDAY, MOVE ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT, AND THEN MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
- MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MILES PER HOUR (95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
- SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST BEFORE BRET REACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES.
- WEAKENING IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY ONCE BRET MOVES OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA, AND THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO DISSIPATE ON SATURDAY.
- TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KILOMETERS)FROM THE CENTER.
- THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MILLIBAR (29.56 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
- KEY MESSAGES FOR BRET CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT3, WMO HEADER WTNT43 KNHC AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT3.SHTML
WIND:
- TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AND POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREAS LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
RAINFALL:
- THROUGH SATURDAY, STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTH TO SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES, INCLUDING BARBADOS.
- THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
URBAN FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
SURF:
- SWELLS GENERATED BY BRET ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ON THURSDAY.
- THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
- PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 2:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
$$
FORECASTER BERG