358
WTNT33 KNHC 230240
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BRET ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FLORIDA, AL032023
11:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME THURSDAY JUN 22 2023
CENTER OF BRET NEAR SAINT VINCENT…
HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES THROUGH TONIGHT…
SUMMARY OF 11:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME,03:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME,
INFORMATION
LOCATION, 13.3 NORTH, 61.1 WEST
ABOUT 5 MILES,10 KILOMETERS EAST OF SAINT VINCENT
ABOUT 35 MILES, 55 KILOMETERS SOUTH OF SAINT LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 60 MILES PER HOUR, 95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT, WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MILES PER HOUR, 30 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE, 1004 MILLIBAR, 29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
THE GOVERNMENT OF SAINT LUCIA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR SAINT LUCIA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR…
- DOMINICA
- SAINT LUCIA
- MARTINIQUE
- BARBADOS
- SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
- INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BRET.
- FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
- AT 11:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (03:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 61.1 WEST
- BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MILES PER HOUR (30 KILOMETERS PER HOUR), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
- ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF BRET IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH AND AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, AND THEN MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
- MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 60 MILES PER HOUR (95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
- GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO DISSIPATE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.
- TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KILOMETERS) FROM THE CENTER.
- THE HEWANORRA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ON SAINT LUCIA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 41 MILES PER HOUR (67 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) AND A WIND GUST OF 69 MILES PER HOUR (111 KILOMETERS PER HOUR).
- TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO BEING REPORTED FROM MARTINIQUE.
- THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER DATA AND EARLIER SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 1004 MILLIBAR (29.65 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
KEY MESSAGES FOR BRET CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT3, WMO HEADER WTNT43 KNHC AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT3.SHTML
WIND:
- TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT.
RAINFALL:
- STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTH THROUGH SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES, INCLUDING BARBADOS.
- THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
URBAN FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. - SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY BRET ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES THROUGH FRIDAY.
- THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
- PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 2:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN