000
WTNT33 KNHC 220852
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BRET ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FLORIDA, AL032023
5:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME THURSDAY JUN 22 2023
BRET POISED TO BRING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT…
SUMMARY OF 5:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME,09:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME,
INFORMATION
LOCATION,13.7 NORTH 56.6 WEST
ABOUT 200 MILES, 320 KILOMETERS EAST OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 70 MILES PER HOUR, 110 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT,WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MILES PER HOUR, 24 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE, 996 MILLIBAR, 29.42 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
SAINT LUCIA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR…
DOMINICA
SAINT LUCIA
MARTINIQUE
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
BARBADOS
SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BRET.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
AT 5:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (09:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 56.6 WEST
BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MILES PER HOUR (24 KILOMETERS PER HOUR), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF BRET IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY, MOVE ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT, AND THEN MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MILES PER HOUR (110 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY WHILE BRET APPROACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES. WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN
TONIGHT OR FRIDAY AFTER BRET PASSES THE LESSER ANTILLES, AND THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO DISSIPATE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA BY
SATURDAY NIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KILOMETERS) FROM THE CENTER, ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MILLIBAR (29.42 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
KEY MESSAGES FOR BRET CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT3, WMO HEADER WTNT43 KNHC AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT3.SHTML
WIND:
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS AND POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
RAINFALL:
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTH TO SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES, INCLUDING BARBADOS.
THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
URBAN FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
SURF:
SWELLS GENERATED BY BRET ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 8:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
$$
FORECASTER BERG