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    TROPICAL STORM BRET INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A

    000
    WTNT33 KNHC 221146
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM BRET INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FLORIDA, AL032023
    8:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME THURSDAY JUN 22 2023

    • BRET NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH…
    • EXPECTED TO BRING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT…

    SUMMARY OF 8:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME, 12:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME,

    INFORMATION

    LOCATION, 13.6 NORTH 57.0 WEST
    ABOUT 170 MILES,  265 KILOMETERS EAST OF BARBADOS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS,70 MILES PER HOUR, 110 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT, WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MILES PER HOUR, 24 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE, 996 MILLIBAR, 29.42 INCHES

    WATCHES AND WARNINGS

    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
    SAINT LUCIA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR…
    DOMINICA
    SAINT LUCIA
    MARTINIQUE

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
    BARBADOS
    SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

    • A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
    • A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
    • A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
    • INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BRET.
    • ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.
    • FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

    • AT 8:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (12:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST.
    • BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MILES PER HOUR (24 KILOMETERS PER HOUR), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
    • ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF BRET IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LESSER ANTILLES TODAY, MOVE ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT, AND THEN MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
    • MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MILES PER HOUR (110 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
    • LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY WHILE BRET APPROACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES. WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN TONIGHT OR FRIDAY AFTER BRET PASSES THE LESSER ANTILLES, AND THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO DISSIPATE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA BY SATURDAY NIGHT.
    • TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KILOMETERS) FROM THE CENTER, ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH.
    • THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE PARTIALLY BASED ON DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS IS 996 MILLIBAR (29.42 INCHES).

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

    KEY MESSAGES FOR BRET CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT3, WMO HEADER WTNT43 KNHC AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT3.SHTML

    WIND:

    • HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT.
    • TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS AND POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

    RAINFALL:

    • STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTH TO SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES, INCLUDING BARBADOS.
    • THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
      URBAN FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

    SURF:

    • SWELLS GENERATED BY BRET ARE BEGINNING TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
    • THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
    • PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    NEXT ADVISORY

    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.

    $$
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

    By NHC