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    TROPICAL STORM BRET ADVISORY NUMBER 16

    ByNHC

    Jun 23, 2023

    778
    WTNT33 KNHC 230850
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM BRET ADVISORY NUMBER 16
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FLORIDA, AL032023
    5:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME FRIDAY JUN 23 2023

    • BRET’S TRAILING RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS…

    SUMMARY OF 05:00 ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME,09:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME,

    INFORMATION

    LOCATION, 13.4 NORTH 62.9 WEST
    ABOUT 115 MILES, 185 KILOMETERS WEST OF SAINT VINCENT
    ABOUT 420 MILES, 670 KILOMETERS EAST OF CURACAO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS,60 MILES PER HOUR ,95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT, WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MILES PER HOUR, 30 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE,1001 MILLIBAR, 29.56 INCHES

    WATCHES AND WARNINGS

    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR…
    DOMINICA
    SAINT LUCIA
    MARTINIQUE
    SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

    • IN THIS CASE, A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
    • INTERESTS ADJACENT TO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BRET.
    • FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

    • AT 5:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (09:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST
    • BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MILES PER HOUR (30 KILOMETERS PER HOUR), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
    • ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF BRET WILL CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
    • MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MILES PER HOUR (95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
    • WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND BRET IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA BY SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.
    • TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES (205 KILOMETERS) MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
    • THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MILLIBAR (29.56 INCHES).

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

    KEY MESSAGES FOR BRET CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT3, WMO HEADER WTNT43 KNHC AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT3.SHTML

    WIND:

    • TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS LATER THIS MORNING.

    RAINFALL:

    • STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTH THROUGH SAINT VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES, INCLUDING BARBADOS.
    • THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
    • URBAN FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

    SURF:

    • SWELLS GENERATED BY BRET ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUBSIDING ALONG THE LESSER ANTILLES THROUGH THE DAY.
      SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE IN AREAS ADJACENT TO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA LATER TODAY AND ON SUNDAY.
    • THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
    • PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    NEXT ADVISORY

    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 8:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.

    $$
    FORECASTER BERG

    By NHC