HURRICANE IDALIA ADVISORY NUMBER  16

• CENTER OF IDALIA CROSSING INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA…
• HIGH WATER LEVELS CONTINUE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA…

• ENGLEWOOD NORTHWESTARD TO AUCILLA RIVER FLORIDA, INCLUDING TAMPA BAY
• SAINT CATHERINE’S SOUND GEORGIA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

• SUWANEE RIVER WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA
• ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA

• BONITA BEACH NORTHWESTARD TO SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA, INCLUDING TAMPA BAY
• SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
• PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

• BONITA BEACH NORTHWESTARD TO ENGLEWOOD, INCLUDING CHARLOTTE HARBOR
• MOUTH OF THE SAINT MARY’S RIVER TO SAINT CATHERINE’S SOUND GEORGIA
• BEAUFORT INLET TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA
• NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS NORTH CAROLINA

• MOUTH OF THE SAINT MARY’S RIVER TO ALTAMAHA SOUND
• EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA

1. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
2. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
3. A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
4. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.
5. THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.
6. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.
7. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
8. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
9. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
10. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.
11. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
12. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

• AT 11:00 A.M. EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (15:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDALIA WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST
• IDALIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH  NORTHEAST NEAR 20  MILES PER HOUR  (31 KILOMETERS PER HOUR).
• A TURN TOWARD THE  NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY, FOLLOWED BY AN EAST  NORTHEASTWARD TO EASTWARD MOTION ON THURSDAY.
• ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF IDALIA WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY, NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA TONIGHT, AND JUST OFFSHORE THE COAST OF SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA ON THURSDAY.
• IDALIA IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY.
• MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90  MILES PER HOUR (150 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
• ALTHOUGH IDALIA WILL WEAKEN FURTHER WHILE THE CENTER IS INLAND, IT IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING WHILE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA  AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
• IDALIA IS FORECAST TO BE A TROPICAL STORM WHILE MOVING NEAR THE COASTS OF  NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND ON THURSDAY.
• HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES (35  KILOMETERS) FROM THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES (370  KILOMETERS).
• SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40  MILES PER HOUR  (65   KILOMETERS PER HOUR) WITH A GUST TO 52  MILES PER HOUR (84 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT MOODY AIR FORCE BASE NEAR VALDOSTA, GEORGIA.
• THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971  MILLIBAR  (28.68 INCHES).

• KEATON BEACH, FLORIDA TO YANKEETOWN, FLORIDA,7 11 FT
• YANKEETOWN, FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER, FLORIDA,5 8 FT
• AUCILLA RIVER, FLORIDA TO KEATON BEACH, FLORIDA,3 5 FT
• ANCLOTE RIVER, FLORIDA TO ENGLEWOOD, FLORIDA,3 5 FT
• TAMPA BAY,3 5 FT
• SAINT CATHERINES SOUND, GEORGIA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER, SOUTH CAROLINA,3 5 FT
• ENGLEWOOD, FLORIDA TO BONITA BEACH, FLORIDA,2 4 FT
• CHARLOTTE HARBOR,2 4 FT
• MOUTH OF THE SAINT MARY’S RIVER TO SAINT CATHERINES SOUND, GA,2 4 FT
• BEAUFORT INLET, NORTH CAROLINA TO OCRACOKE INLET, NC,2 4 FT
• NEUSE RIVER AND PAMLICO RIVER,2 4 FT
• BONITA BEACH, FLORIDA TO EAST CAPE SABLE, FLORIDA,1 3 FT
• SOUTH SANTEE RIVER, SOUTH CAROLINA TO BEAUFORT INLET, NC,1 3 FT
• OCRACOKE INLET, NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK, NC,1 3 FT
• FLORIDAAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE, FLORIDA TO MOUTH OF THE SAINT MARY’S RIVER,1 3 FT

1. THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER, WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
2. SURGE RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
3. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

WIND:  

1. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND WILL SPREAD TO THE COASTS OF GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
2. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST  HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ALONG THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
3. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE  NORTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA AND WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THURSDAY.

• IDALIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A SWATH OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH ISOLATED MAXIMA UP TO 12 INCHES FROM PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA THROUGH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA, AND THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO THURSDAY.
• THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF FLASH, URBAN, AND MODERATE RIVER FLOODING, WITH CONSIDERABLE IMPACTS.

• SWELLS GENERATED BY IDALIA ARE AFFECTING THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM FLORIDA TO LOUISIANA, AND WILL INCREASE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST TODAY.
• THESE  SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
• PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

• A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS CENTRAL AND  NORTHEAST FLORIDA INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
• THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT FOR COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA.