000
WTNT35 KNHC 011437
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
POST TROPICAL CYCLONE IDALIA ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FLORIDA, AL102023
11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME FRIDAY SEP 01 2023

  • IDALIA MOVING TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC…
  • TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BERMUDA…

SUMMARY OF 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME,15:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME

INFORMATION

LOCATION,31.9 NORTH 67.9 WEST
ABOUT 185 MILES, 295 KILOMETERS WEST OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 60 MILES PER HOUR, 95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT, EAST SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT 17 MILES PER HOUR, 28 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE, 998 MILLIBAR, 29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS UPGRADED TO THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…

  • BERMUDA
  1. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  2. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

  • AT 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (15:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), THE CENTER OF POST TROPICAL CYCLONE IDALIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST.
  • IDALIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST NEAR 17 MILES PER HOUR (28 KILOMETERS PER HOUR), AND THIS GENERAL TRAJECTORY AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.
  • A TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST IS FORECAST LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
  • ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF IDALIA WILL MOVE NEAR OR TO THE SOUTH OF BERMUDA ON SATURDAY.
  • MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MILES PER HOUR (95 KILOMETERS PER HOUR) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
  • GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.
  • RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND, AND IDALIA IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY.
  • TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES (390 KILOMETERS) FROM THE CENTER.
  • THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MILLIBAR (29.47 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

KEY MESSAGES FOR IDALIA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT45 KNHC, AND ON THE WEB AT HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT5.SHTML

WIND:

  • TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY SATURDAY.

RAINFALL:

  • IDALIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES, OR 75 TO 125 MILIMETERS, ACROSS BERMUDA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
  • THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY CAUSE AREAS OF FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING ON THE ISLAND.

SURF:

  • SWELLS GENERATED BY IDALIA WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST AND BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
  • THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
    PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY

NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 2:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

By NHC