Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 050839
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0900 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  50.2W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......190NE 180SE 120SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  50.2W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  50.1W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.4N  50.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 31.9N  49.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 220SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 35.7N  46.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE 170SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.2N  42.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.0N  36.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 130SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 220SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 43.4N  28.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 140SE 130SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 230SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 45.5N  10.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  70SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 210SW 130NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 52.0N   4.5E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE 150SW 200NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N  50.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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