Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 052047
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  50.0W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......200NE 190SE 140SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 480SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  50.0W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  50.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 32.1N  49.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 35.8N  47.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 220SE 170SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.2N  42.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 210SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.0N  36.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...110NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 220SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 43.5N  29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 130SE 130SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 230SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 44.3N  19.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 230SW 165NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 47.7N    .5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 200SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 55.8N  14.9E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  50.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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