Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 060243
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0300 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  49.3W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT.......200NE 190SE 140SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 420SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  49.3W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  49.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 34.0N  48.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 37.6N  44.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 220SE 170SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.7N  39.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...130NE 130SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 210SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.8N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT...110NE 160SE 130SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 220SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.7N  24.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 130SE 130SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 230SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 44.1N  15.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 230SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 49.5N   3.7E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 200SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  49.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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