Tropical Storm Milton Forecast Advisory


128 
WTNT24 KNHC 052045
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  95.5W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  95.5W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  95.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.9N  95.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.0N  94.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N  92.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 23.1N  91.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.8N  89.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.8N  87.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 27.7N  83.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 30.4N  77.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 180SW 190NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N  95.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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