Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT22 KNHC 060849
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122024
0900 UTC SUN OCT 06 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  49.0W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 410SE 540SW 500NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  49.0W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  49.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 36.2N  47.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...220NE 230SE 170SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 39.6N  42.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT...230NE 250SE 190SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.2N  36.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE 120SW  90NW.
34 KT...230NE 270SE 220SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 43.4N  29.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 120SE 120SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 270SE 240SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 43.9N  20.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 240SE 240SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 45.5N  10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 200SE 200SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 51.5N   7.5E...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N  49.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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