Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT24 KNHC 080238
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
0300 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  89.9W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  914 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  25SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  89.9W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  90.4W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.3N  88.6W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  25SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.5N  86.7W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  45SE  45SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N  84.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 27.1N  83.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.6N  80.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...220NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 29.4N  77.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...250NE 170SE 150SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 30.3N  69.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...250NE 170SE 200SW 160NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 31.0N  63.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE 120SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N  89.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 08/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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