Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory


166 
WTNT23 KNHC 090836
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
0900 UTC WED OCT 09 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  47.8W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  47.8W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  47.5W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.0N  48.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N  49.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.9N  50.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.4N  50.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.6N  48.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N  46.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 34.3N  36.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 35.4N  28.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  47.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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