Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory


274 
WTNT23 KNHC 092032
TCMAT3

HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
2100 UTC WED OCT 09 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  49.0W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  49.0W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  48.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.9N  49.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.8N  50.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.3N  50.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.2N  49.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  50SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.7N  47.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  50SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 31.9N  43.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  60SW  20NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 35.4N  33.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  80SE  60SW  30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 36.5N  25.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N  49.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN

Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

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zerohedge
Economics , News , Politics , Science
November 16, 2024
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French Court Orders Release Of Lebanese Man Convicted Of Killing US & Israeli Diplomats In 1980s

Via Middle East Eye

A French court on Friday ordered the release of Lebanese pro-Palestine activist Georges Ibrahim Abdallah, Europe’s longest-held political prisoner, after 40 years in prison.

Abdallah, a former guerrilla with the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP), was sentenced to life in prison in 1987 for his alleged involvement in the 1982 murders of US military attache Charles Robert Ray and Israeli diplomat Yacov Barsimantov.

Lebanese political prisoner Georges Ibrahim Abdallah sits in court during his trial in Lyon, France, in July 1986, via AFP

The 73-year-old has appealed his conviction 11 times since becoming eligible for release in 1999. The court said the communist activist would be released on December 6 on the condition that he leaves France and does not return, French anti-terror prosecutors said in a statement to AFP.

The prosecutors said they would appeal the court’s decision, leaving the timing of Abdallah’s release uncertain.

The Lebanese activist, born to a Christian family in the northern village of Koubayat, has long maintained that he was not a “criminal” but “a fighter” who battled for the rights of Palestinians.

“The path I followed was dictated by the human rights violations perpetrated against Palestine,” he told the judges during his latest appeal for release.

Wounded in 1978 during Israel’s invasion of Lebanon, Abdallah, a secondary school teacher, joined the Marxist-Leninist PFLP, which carried out a series of plane hijackings during the 1960s and 1970s.

A year later, Abdallah, along with his brothers and cousins, founded his own pro-Palestine armed group, the Lebanese Armed Revolutionary Factions (LARF). The group had contact with other far-left armed outfits, including France’s Action Directe, Italy’s Red Brigades and the German Red Army Faction (RAF).

The Lebanese anti-Israeli Marxist group claimed responsibility for five attacks, including four in France in 1981 and 1982.

‘Honor of being accused’

In 1986, Abdallah was sentenced in Lyon to four years in prison for criminal association and possession of weapons and explosives. He was tried the following year for complicity in the assassination of Ray and Barsimantov, as well as for the attempted assassination of a third American diplomat in 1984.

In the murder trial, one of the French secret services’ sources was Abdallah’s lawyer, Jean-Paul Mazurier, who later revealed that he was an intelligence agent.

In court, Abdallah denied the accusation but declared: “If the people did not entrust me with the honor of participating in these anti-imperialist actions that you attribute to me, at least I have the honor of being accused of them.”

Abdallah was then sentenced to life in prison, a far more severe punishment than the 10-year sentence sought by the attorney general. His lawyer, Jacques Verges, who previously defended clients such as Venezuelan militant Carlos the Jackal, saw the verdict as “a declaration of war”.

A support committee was immediately formed, demanding Abdallah’s “immediate release”. The longest-serving prisoner in France has never expressed regret for his actions.

“He is doing well intellectually. He is an activist. He sticks to his guns, reads a lot and keeps himself very informed about what is happening in the Middle East. People write to him from all over the world,” his lawyer, Jean-Louis Chalanset, told AFP in 2022.

‘A political victory’

“I am the victim of a political decision,” Abdallah said shortly before the verdict on Friday.

Washington has consistently opposed Abdallah’s release, while Lebanese authorities have repeatedly called for his freedom.

*A more recent photo of Georges Ibrahim Abdallah*

Since 1999, the year he became eligible for release, all his parole requests have been rejected except one in 2013, when he was granted release on the condition that he be expelled from France.

When his request was granted that year, then-US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton contacted French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius, saying in diplomatic cables revealed by WikiLeaks: “Although the French government has no legal authority to overturn the Court of Appeal’s decision, we hope French officials might find another basis to challenge the decision’s legality.”

French Interior Minister Manuel Valls then refused to proceed with the order and Abdallah remained in jail.

Chalanset told AFP that the court’s decision on Friday is not contingent on the government issuing such an order, calling it “a legal and a political victory”. However, under French law, an appeal can suspend the court’s decision, effectively deferring its execution.

Over the years, Abdallah’s fate has mobilized activists close to the French Communist Party and the far left, who have accused successive governments of employing relentless tactics regarding the political prisoner’s release.

Several communist municipalities have even made him an honorary citizen, and protests have frequently been held outside his prison in Lannemezan, in southwestern France. “Georges Ibrahim Abdallah is the victim of a state justice that shames France,” Nobel Prize-winning author Annie Ernaux said in a piece in the communist daily L’Humanite last month.

The Human Rights League, a leading French human rights NGO, has long maintained that Abdallah’s continued imprisonment violates human rights.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 11/16/2024 – 07:35

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