Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT24 KNHC 090854
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
0900 UTC WED OCT 09 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  85.4W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  907 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  85.4W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  85.9W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.9N  84.3W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.4N  82.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.2N  80.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 130SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.8N  76.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 120SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.1N  73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.7N  69.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.3N  62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 32.1N  56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N  85.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 09/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION


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