- WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA BY THIS AFTERNOON
- PREPARATIONS, INCLUDING EVACUATION IF TOLD TO DO SO, SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION THIS MORNING
- Florida west coast from Flamingo northward to Yankeetown, including Charlotte Harbor and Tampa Bay
- Sebastian Inlet Florida to Altamaha Sound Georgia, including the Saint Johns River
- Florida west coast from Bonita Beach northward to Suwannee River, including Tampa Bay
- Florida east coast from the Saint Lucie/Martin County Line northward to Ponte Vedra Beach
- North of Altamaha Sound Georgia to Edisto Beach South Carolina
- Dry Tortugas
- Lake Okeechobee
- Florida west coast from Chokoloskee to south of Bonita Beach
- Florida east coast north of Ponte Vedra Beach to the mouth of the Saint Marys River
- Florida east coast from the Saint Lucie/Martin County Line to the Palm Beach/Martin County Line
- Florida Keys, including Dry Tortugas and Florida Bay
- Lake Okeechobee
- Florida west coast from Flamingo to south of Bonita Beach
- Florida west coast from north of Suwanee River to Indian Pass
- Florida east coast south of the Saint Lucie/Martin County Line to Flamingo
- North of Ponte Vedra Beach Florida to the Savannah River
- Extreme northwestern Bahamas, including Grand Bahama Island, the Abacos, and Bimini
- North of the Savannah River to South Santee River South Carolina
- A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations.
- For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.
- This is a life-threatening situation.
- Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
- Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
- A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.
- A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
- Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
- A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
- A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
- For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.
- A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area.
- A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
- A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
- For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
- For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
- At 8:00 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time (12:00 Coordinated Universal Time), the eye of Hurricane Milton was located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 84.8 West.
- Milton is moving toward the northeast near 16 Miles Per Hour, (26 Kilometers Per Hour).
- A northeastward motion is expected through tonight.
- A turn toward the east-northeast and east is expected on Thursday and Friday.
- On the forecast track, the center of Milton will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico today, make landfall along the west-central coast of Florida late tonight or early Thursday morning, and move off the east coast of Florida over the western Atlantic Ocean Thursday afternoon.
- Maximum sustained winds are near 155 Miles Per Hour, (250 Kilometers Per Hour) with higher gusts.
- Milton is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Milton is expected to remain an extremely dangerous major hurricane when it reaches the west-central coast of Florida tonight.
- Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 Kilometers) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 Kilometers).
- The minimum central pressure based on NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter data is 915 Millibar, (27.02 inches).
- Key Messages for Milton can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml
- The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.
- The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide
-
- Anna Maria Island, Florida to Boca Grande, Florida 10-15 feet
- Anclote River, Florida to Anna Maria Island, Florida 8-12 feet
- Tampa Bay 8-12 feet
- Boca Grande, Florida to Bonita Beach, Florida 8-12 feet
- Charlotte Harbor 8-12 feet
- Bonita Beach, Florida to Chokoloskee, Florida 5-8 feet
- Aripeka, Florida to Anclote River, Florida 4-7 feet
- Chokoloskee, Florida to Flamingo, Florida 3-5 feet
- Sebastian Inlet, Florida to Altamaha Sound, Georgia 3-5 feet
- Altamaha Sound, Georgia to Edisto Beach, South Carolina 2-4 feet
- Yankeetown, Florida to Aripeka, Florida 2-4 feet
- Dry Tortugas 2-4 feet
- Saint Johns River 2-4 feet
- The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the south of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.
- Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.
- For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
- For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge
- Rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches, with localized totals up to 18 inches, are expected across central to northern portions of the Florida Peninsula through Thursday.
- This rainfall brings the risk of catastrophic and life-threatening flash and urban flooding, along with moderate to major river flooding.
- For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Hurricane Milton, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf
- and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero
- Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area across Florida beginning this evening through early Thursday and are possible in the hurricane watch area on Thursday.
- Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area on the west coast of Florida around midday, spreading across the peninsula and reaching the east coast tonight.
- Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area on the east coast of Florida tonight and along the Georgia coast on Thursday.
- Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the northwestern Bahamas on Thursday.
- Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area on the South Carolina coast on Thursday.
- Several tornadoes are likely today and tonight across parts of central and southern Florida.
- Swells generated by Milton are expected to continue to affect much of the Gulf Coast and will increase along the southeastern U.S. coast during the next day or two.
- These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
- Please consult products from your local weather office.
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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