Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 16
000
WTNT35 KNHC 151455
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ernesto Advisory Number 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, National Hurricane Center Miami FLORIDA AL052024
11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME Thu Aug 15 2024
- HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA
- HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG U.S. EAST COAST BEACHES THIS WEEKEND
SUMMARY OF 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME 15:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME INFORMATION
LOCATION 25.0 NORTH 69.2 WEST
ABOUT 570 MILES, 915 KILOMETERS SOUTH SOUTHWEST, OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 MILES PER HOUR, 140 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
PRESENT MOVEMENT NORTH, OR 350 DEGREES AT 14 MILES PER HOUR, 22 KILOMETERS PER HOUR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MILLIBAR, 28.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for
- Bermuda
- A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.
- A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
- Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
- For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
- At 11:00 A.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (15:00 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME), the center of Hurricane ‘Ernesto’ was located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 69.2 West.
- ‘Ernesto’ is moving toward the north near 14 Miles Per Hour, (22 Kilometers Per Hour).
- This general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a slower northeastward or north northeastward motion on Friday and Saturday.
- On the forecast track, the center of ‘Ernesto’ is expected to pass near or over Bermuda on Saturday.
- Maximum sustained winds are near 85 Miles Per Hour, (140 Kilometers Per Hour) with higher gusts.
- Strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and ‘Ernesto’ could be near major hurricane strength by Friday.
- ‘Ernesto’ is forecast to be a large hurricane near Bermuda on Saturday.
- A Saildrone just north of the center measured sustained winds of 46 Miles Per Hour, (74 Kilometers Per Hour) with a gust of 58 Miles Per Hour, (93 Kilometers Per Hour).
- Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 Kilometers) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 Kilometers).
- The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for ‘Ernesto’ can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml
WIND:
- Hurricane conditions are expected on Bermuda Saturday, with tropical storm conditions likely beginning Friday afternoon.
STORM SURGE:
- A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
- Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
RAINFALL:
- ‘Ernesto’ is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches in Bermuda with isolated maximum amounts up to 12 inches.
- This rainfall may result in considerable life threatening flash flooding.
SURF:
- Swells generated by ‘Ernesto’ are affecting portions of the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the southeastern Bahamas.
- These swells will spread toward Bermuda and the rest of the Bahamas later today.
- Swells are expected to reach the east coast of the United States tonight and continue into the weekend.
- These swells are likely to cause life threatening surf and rip current conditions.
- Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards.
NEXT ADVISORY
- Next intermediate advisory at 2:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
- Next complete advisory at 5:00 P.M. ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME.
$$
Forecaster Bucci & Onderlinde
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
Stay Updated with news.freeptomaineradio.com’s Daily Newsletter
Stay informed! Subscribe to our daily newsletter to receive updates on our latest blog posts directly in your inbox. Don’t let important information get buried by big tech.
Current subscribers:
