000 WTPZ22 KNHC 212038 TCMEP2 HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024 2100 UTC WED AUG 21 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 123.2W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 110SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 180SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 123.2W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 122.9W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.6N 124.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.9N 125.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.1N 126.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.4N 127.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.6N 129.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.7N 131.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 18.0N 134.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 138.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 123.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ALAKA/PAPIN
Originally Posted at:
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
At The NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
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